King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense

+106%
E671.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.Nf3 d6 5.g3 0-0 6.Bg2 Nbd7
Sep 13, 2028
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TL;DR

The most popular Fianchetto KID setup. Black supports an eventual ...e5 break and keeps options open between ...c6 with ...e5 or ...c5 transpositions — flexible, solid, and the gateway to most modern Fianchetto theory.

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IM John Bartholomew
IM John BartholomewCo-Founder & Chess Educator

International Master and chess educator. Co-founded Chessable and joined Chessiverse as co-founder. Best known for his "Climbing the Rating Ladder" YouTube series and structured opening courses.

King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: A Complete Guide
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense - Opening Moves
Summary

1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.Nf3 d6 5.g3 0-0 6.Bg2 Nbd7 opens the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense, ECO E67. With 537,147 games on record, the patterns below come from the largest practical sample available.

History and Notable Players

It arises from the King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Deferred Fianchetto. On the White side, Zlatko Ilincic (36 games), Istvan Csom (36 games), Josef Jurek (29 games) top the database. Notable Black exponents: Joseph G Gallagher (24 games), Efim Geller (22 games), Miguel Najdorf (22 games).

Performance Across Rating Levels

Popularity and results vary sharply by rating level. At 1200 Elo, the opening shows up in 0.00% of games (10,997 samples). White scores 49.5%, Black 46.7%, draws 3.8%. By 1800, popularity is 0.02% and White's score is 49.6% to Black's 44.9%. At the top end (2500+ Elo), popularity is 0.10% with 9.4% draws — a clear sign of how much theory rules the line at master level. Positions also become less sharp as level rises (sharpness 0.96 → 0.91).

Time Control Patterns

Time control matters here: bullet players reach for this opening more than others. In bullet, it appears in 0.01% of games (358,504); White wins 49.1%. Blitz shows 0.01% adoption across 465,324 games, White scoring 49.5%. In rapid, the share rises to 0.01% — 70,679 games, White 49.4%.

Move Diversity and Theory Depth

What players actually play after the opening moves depends heavily on rating. At 1200 Elo, the top reply is O-O, played 66.7% of the time. There are 3 other moves seeing meaningful share, and 85.8% of games stick to established theory. Entropy: 1.83. By 2500, O-O dominates at 96.8% of replies; only 1 viable alternatives remain and 98.8% of moves are theory. Entropy drops to 0.29. The narrowing is significant — strong players consolidate around a small set of best moves, while amateurs scatter across many plausible-looking options.

Tracking the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense year over year shows a clear story. Adoption peaked in 2020 at 0.01% (76,505 games). By 2025 it sits at 0.01% — a 106% shift overall, leaving the line on the rise.

Main Lines and Variations

After 1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.Nf3 d6 5.g3 0-0 6.Bg2 Nbd7, the established follow-ups are:

Each branch leads to a different middlegame character — the resulting pawn structure decides what kind of game you get.

Common Mistakes

  • Drifting away from main theory — At 400 Elo, theory adherence sits at 79.2% — versus 95.5% at 2000. The most popular deviation is e4 (played 12.8% of the time at 400, much less so up top). It looks fine but quietly hands the better-prepared side an edge.
  • Neglecting development — Extra pawn moves in the opening are tempting, especially when you "know the moves". Developing a piece each turn is the simple correction.
  • Letting White own the centre — Hypermodern openings concede central space on purpose, but only if you strike back in time. Delay the counter-blow and you end up squeezed.

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Quick Facts

Main Line1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.Nf3 d6 5.g3 0-0 6.Bg2 Nbd7
FENr1bq1rk1/pppnppbp/3p1np1/8/2PP4/2N2NP1/PP2PPBP/R1BQK2R w KQ - 3 7
DifficultyAdvanced
Style

Hypermodern openings let the opponent occupy the center with pawns, then attack it from the flanks with pieces and fianchettoed bishops. Control is exerted from a distance rather than by direct occupation.

537,147games on Lichess
49.5%
5.9%
44.6%
White wins Draws Black wins

Top Players

As White
As Black

Data from Lichess opening explorer (blitz & rapid)

Most Popular At2500
SharpnessSharp

Popularity by Rating

Percentage of all games at each rating bracket that feature this opening.

Data from Lichess opening explorer (blitz & rapid games)

Theory Adherence by Rating

How often players choose the single most popular move at this position. Higher = more predictable play.

White to move after the opening line

Popularity Over Time

Share of all Lichess blitz + rapid games featuring this opening, by year.

Top Moves by Rating

White to move after the opening line

RatingMost Popular2nd3rd
4007.O-O60.3%7.e412.8%7.Bg56%
10007.O-O65.7%7.e412.8%7.Bg56%
12007.O-O66.7%7.e413.6%7.Bg55.5%
14007.O-O71.5%7.e413.2%7.Bg54.4%
16007.O-O77%7.e412.1%7.Bg53.4%
18007.O-O82.5%7.e49.9%7.Bg52.1%
20007.O-O87.6%7.e46.8%7.h31.1%
22007.O-O92.8%7.e42.9%7.h31.3%
25007.O-O96.8%7.d51.1%7.e41%

Popularity by Time Control

Bullet
0.01%359K
Blitz
0.01%465K
Rapid
<0.01%71K
2% more decisive in bullet
Raw data tables (Lichess blitz + rapid)
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: popularity and win rates by player rating
Rating (Elo)Share %GamesWhite win %Black win %Draw %Sharpness
4000.0052650.047.72.30.977
10000.002,81750.945.73.40.966
12000.0010,99749.546.73.80.962
14000.0032,61049.046.94.10.959
16000.0178,64949.745.74.60.954
18000.02146,04949.644.95.50.945
20000.03152,55749.744.16.20.938
22000.0699,54949.143.67.30.927
25000.1013,39348.542.19.40.906
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: move-choice theory adherence by rating
Rating (Elo)Top moveTop move %Viable movesTheory %Entropy
4007.O-O60.3479.22.139
10007.O-O65.7384.51.907
12007.O-O66.7385.81.828
14007.O-O71.5289.11.597
16007.O-O77.0292.51.326
18007.O-O82.5294.51.073
20007.O-O87.6295.50.834
22007.O-O92.8197.00.561
25007.O-O96.8198.80.286
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: popularity over time
YearShare %GamesWhite win %Black win %Draw %
20130.0115341.251.67.2
20140.0166749.646.24.2
20150.012,66347.047.35.7
20160.016,70149.144.76.2
20170.0113,11849.644.75.7
20180.0123,39149.644.85.6
20190.0134,81749.844.45.8
20200.0176,50549.743.96.4
20210.0185,69649.744.36.0
20220.0184,90049.444.95.7
20230.0184,90349.045.15.8
20240.0179,76349.544.85.7
20250.0180,91649.644.75.8
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: popularity by time control
FormatShare %GamesWhite win %Black win %Draw %Sharpness
bullet0.01358,50449.146.84.10.959
blitz0.01465,32449.544.75.80.942
rapid0.0170,67949.444.16.60.934
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: top candidate moves by rating bracket
Rating (Elo)1st move1st %2nd move2nd %3rd move3rd %
4007.O-O60.37.e412.87.Bg56.0
10007.O-O65.77.e412.87.Bg56.0
12007.O-O66.77.e413.67.Bg55.5
14007.O-O71.57.e413.27.Bg54.4
16007.O-O77.07.e412.17.Bg53.4
18007.O-O82.57.e49.97.Bg52.1
20007.O-O87.67.e46.87.h31.1
22007.O-O92.87.e42.97.h31.3
25007.O-O96.87.d51.17.e41.0
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense: top practitioners by side
SidePlayerGames
WhiteZlatko Ilincic36
WhiteIstvan Csom36
WhiteJosef Jurek29
BlackJoseph G Gallagher24
BlackEfim Geller22
BlackMiguel Najdorf22
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Guided Play

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Frequently Asked Questions

King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense

What is this opening?

This opening begins with 1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 Bg7 4.Nf3 d6 5.g3 0-0 6.Bg2 Nbd7 and is classified under ECO code E67.

Is this opening good for beginners?

This opening can be played at any level. Beginners should focus on understanding the key strategic ideas rather than memorizing long theoretical lines. Our AI bots at various rating levels provide a great way to practice the opening concepts.

What are the main variations of this opening?

The main continuations include: King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Variation. Each variation leads to distinct types of positions with their own strategic themes.

What are the win rates for this opening?

In a database of 537,147 games, White wins 49.5% of the time, Black wins 44.6%, and 5.9% are drawn. Notable players on the White side include Zlatko Ilincic and Istvan Csom. On the Black side, Joseph G Gallagher and Efim Geller are among the most frequent practitioners.

Sources

Brought to you by

IM John Bartholomew
IM John BartholomewCo-Founder & Chess Educator

International Master and chess educator. Co-founded Chessable and joined Chessiverse as co-founder. Best known for his "Climbing the Rating Ladder" YouTube series and structured opening courses.

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